Calendrier du mois de janvier 2018
Development Economics Seminar
Du 31/01/2018 de 16:30 à 18:00
campus Jourdan - 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
CARIA Stefano (University of Oxford)
The Selection of Talent: Experimental and Structural Evidence from Ethiopia
écrit avec joint work with Girum Abebe and Esteban Ortiz-Ospina
We study how search frictions in the labour market affect firms' ability to recruit talented workers. In a field experiment in Ethiopia, we show that an employer can attract more talented applicants by offering a small monetary incentive for making a job application. The size of the effect is equivalent to doubling the wage offer for the same position. Estimates from a structural model suggest that application incentives are effective because (i) the cost of making a job application is large (on average 9-13 percent of the monthly wage), especially among talented low-income jobseekers; and (ii) 30 percent of individuals are unable to pay this cost due to credit constraints. In a second experiment, we show that local recruiters underestimate the positive impacts of application incentives. This can explain why the use of this intervention is limited in our context. Our findings highlight that financial incentives for job applications can improve the selection and allocation of talent.
PSI-PSE (Petit Séminaire Informel de la Paris School of Economics) Seminar
Du 30/01/2018 de 17:00 à 18:00
Campus Jourdan - Room R2-20
VISKANIC Max (Sciences Po)
Women Working on Women: Evidence from French Politics.
NGOs, Development and Globalization
Du 30/01/2018 de 14:30 à 17:30
Campus Jourdan - Room : R1-14
14:30-15:20 - Philippe Garnier (NGO CRAterre, Architect and researcher)
”On the transition between emergency aid, reconstruction and long term development”
15:20-16:10 Ruben Durante (Sciences Po)
”The life of others: explaining differences in news coverage of human losses around the world”
(with M. Djourelova and E. Papaioannou”)
16:10-16:40 Coffee Break
16:40-17:30 Nancy Carfrae (UIA - Union of International Associations, coordinator)
“UIA: 100 years of documenting international civil society”
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 30/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R1-09, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
CARBONNIER Clément(U. Paris 8 Vincennes-St Denis, LED & Sciences Po, LIEPP)
MALGOUYRES Clement(CREST)
PY Loriane(Banque de France & IPP)
URVOY Camille()
Wage Incidence of Corporate Income Taxes: market equilibrium versus rent sharing
We take advantage of the introduction of a large tax credit (Competitiveness and Employment Tax Credit - CETC) in France in 2013 to assess the wage incidence of corporate income tax. The eligibility rules of the scheme - proportional to the wagebill for individual compensations lower than 2.5 minimum wage - generate a strong discontinuity, upon which we build our identification strategies. Thanks to the match of employer and employee exhaustive admistrative databases, we are able to contrast the corporate income tax incidence on wages at individual and firm levels. The individual-data based analysis studies the deformation of the distribution of wages and hires around the notch, following bunching literature. The firm-level analysis consists in difference-in-difference between firms matched within cells defined according to their wage cumulative density function. The source of variation in treatment intensity stems from pre-reform wage differences in a tight window around the threshold. We show that there exists a discrepancy between the absence of bunching at the individual level and the substantial incidence on wages at the firm level, espcially for high-skill workers. This suggests that rent-sharing or other firm-level wage setting mechanisms are key to fully understand the incidence of such tax credit policy.
Roy Seminar (ADRES)
Du 29/01/2018 de 17:00 à 18:30
Salle R1-09, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
VIDA Peter (Université de Cergy-Pontoise)
Strategic Stability of Equilibria in Multi-Sender Signaling Games
GSIELM (Graduate Students International Economics and Labor Market) Lunch Seminar
Du 29/01/2018 de 13:00 à 14:00
Room S3 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris
LEYVA Jaime (Paris 1, PSE)
International Banking Flows, The Global Financial Cycle and Local Developments
The Global Financial Cycle has received a big attention in the last years. Many works have found a significant and negative mean effect of some Global Financial Cycle proxies such as the VIX in risky asset prices, capital flows and leverage across different countries. This paper tries to assess the importance of the Global Financial Cycle in explaining international banking flows conditioning on the heterogeneous response of local variables to global shocks. We use the correlated part of local stock market volatility with the US stock market volatility to quantify the heterogeneous local response to global high uncertainty periods and then we test the explanatory power of the country-specific response to global shocks in a panel of international banking flows to Small Open Economies. Our results seem to asses that there is an active coordination behaviour of the Global Banking system to more exposed countries under high uncertainty periods, and taking into account the heterogeneous responses in stock markets outperforms the explanatory power of a common Global proxy of volatility. Finally, we develop a Small Open Economy DSGE model in which we analyse the impact of international interest rate shocks under different degrees of financial frictions in the local banking system to explain the heterogeneous response of local economic variables and capital flows under a global shock.
Casual Friday Development Seminar - Brown Bag Seminar
Du 26/01/2018 de 12:45 à 13:45
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
CRESPIN-BOUCAUD Juliette (PSE)
Intermarriage in sub-Saharan Africa: Ethnicity and religion
EPCI (Economie politique du changement institutionnel) Seminar
Du 26/01/2018 de 11:00 à 12:30
MSE - salle 116
MEYER Meg (Oxford)
Hollowed Out: Labor Market Polarization, and Trade Union Decline
Discutant : Thibault DARCILLON (UP8)
Texte intégral
brown bag Travail et Économie Publique
Du 25/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
MONTALBAN CASTILLA José (Paris School of Economics)
The Math Gender Gap: The Role of Test-Taking Environment
écrit avec Co-author: Almudena Sevilla
There are certain situations, such as those where the importance of performing well on a particular occasion, produce pressure. Events which contribute to higher levels of pressure, competition or stress, may lead to situations where women may under-perform men. In this paper we exploit the random allocation of male and female students to exams performed under different levels (external vs. internal administered tests) of pressure to understand their causal effect on gender performance gaps. We use administrative data on the performance of primary-school students in the Region of Madrid. We find that the gender gap increases with the presence of an external administered test for male-dominated subjects, such as Mathematics and Sciences. The effect is not significant for female-dominated subjects (i.e. English and Spanish).
TOM (Théorie, Organisation et Marchés) Lunch Seminar
Du 25/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R2-20, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
BANERJEE Abhijit (MIT)
The Efficient Deployment of Police Resources: Theory and New Evidence from a Randomized Drunk Driving Crackdown in India
écrit avec Esther Duflo and Dan Keniston
Behavior seminar
Du 25/01/2018 de 11:00 à 12:00
48, bld Jourdan Paris (75014) Salle R2-21
RAVESTEIJN BASTIAN (Harvard Medical School)
TBA
Development Economics Seminar
Du 24/01/2018 de 16:30 à 18:00
salle R2-01, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
BLUMENSTOCK Joshua (Berkeley)
Towards Real-Time Measures of Poverty and Vulnerability
In wealthy nations, novel sources of data from the internet and social media are enabling new approaches to social science research and creating new opportunities for public policy. In developing countries, by contrast, fewer sources of such data exist, and researchers and policymakers often rely on data that are unreliable or out of date. Here, we develop a new approach for measuring the dynamic welfare of individuals remotely by analyzing their patterns of mobile phone use. To benchmark these methods, we conducted high-frequency panel surveys with 1,200 Afghan citizens, and with the respondent's consent, matched each individual's responses to his or her entire history of mobile phone-based communication, which we obtained from Afghanistan's largest mobile operator. We show that mobile phone data can be used to accurately estimate the social and economic welfare of respondents, and that machine learning models can be used to infer the onset and magnitude of positive and negative shocks. These results have the potential to inform current practices of policy monitoring and impact evaluation.
Economic History Seminar
Du 24/01/2018 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
SALEH Mohamed (LSE)
Socioeconomic Inequality across Religious Groups in the Middle East
This book project plans to study various questions related to the long-standing socioeconomic inequality across religious groups in the Middle East. It draws on novel primary data sources including medieval papyri, historical population censuses, and tax registers, in order to document the socioeconomic advantage of non-Muslim minorities in the region and how it evolved over time and varied across groups and territories. It then examines how inter-religion socioeconomic inequality was impacted by European influence and state-led development since 1800. Finally, it explores the historical roots of this inequality and the role of Islamic taxation in its emergence, and how the Islamic tax system itself evolved in response to it. Overall, the planned manuscript is part of a larger project that attempts to write a new evidence-based economic history of the region that draws on the digitization of various primary unexplored data sources at local and European archives and that combines the quantitative approaches of the social sciences with the large historical literature. In doing so, it builds on earlier work of pioneering economic historians of the region, while attempting to go beyond the conceptual and methodological divisions that separate economic historians from historians as well as those that separate nationalist from colonial narratives.
PSI-PSE (Petit Séminaire Informel de la Paris School of Economics) Seminar
Du 23/01/2018 de 17:00 à 18:00
Campus Jourdan - Room R2-20
BRIOLE Simon (Paris School of Economics)
The effects of peers' gender on students' performance and academic career - evidence from natural variation in french middle school
Paris Migration Seminar
Du 23/01/2018 de 16:30 à 19:30
Campus Jourdan - Room R1-13
écrit avec Site : https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/en/research/seminars/migration-seminar/
16:30 - 17:30 Frédéric Docquier (Université Catholique de Louvain), Global warming, inequality and migration.
17:30 - 18:00 Discussants: Katrin Millock (PSE), Simone Bertoli (CERDI)
18:00 - 18: 15 Break
18:15 - 19:15 Joshua Blumenstock (UC Berkeley), Social networks and international migration
19:15 - 19:45 Discussants: Fosca Giannotti (Pisa), Margherita Comola (PSE)
Paris Trade Seminar
Du 23/01/2018 de 14:45 à 16:15
ScPo, 28 rue des Saints Pères, 75007 Paris, salle H405
VAN BIESEBROECK Johannes (Leuven)
*Comparative advantage in routine production
écrit avec Liza Archanskaia and Gerald Willmann
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 23/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
ROY Sutanuka (LSE)
Disruptive Effects of Preferential Policies: Evidence from Large Scale Field Experiments in India
This paper reports on the first large-scale randomized field experiment (which includes 14,190undergraduate students) involving legally-recognized minorities to examine the causal effects ofproviding performance based financial incentives to disadvantaged students on high stakes universitytest scores. Two definitions of being disadvantaged are examined separately: 1) income disadvantage2) social disadvantage of belonging to minority groups, i.e., the lower caste groups. The aim ofthe paper is to measure the impact of two types of affirmative action policies on the disadvantagedgroups that the policies target and on the excluded relatively advantaged peers. When only poorstudents were given the opportunity to win the prize incentives, the average test scores of wholecohort decreased by .14 standard deviations. There is a negative spillover effect on the test scores ofthe nonpoor peers who are excluded from the opportunity to win the prize incentives. Mechanisms ofacademic non co-operation as a response to preferential policies are explored. The paper providesevidence of social tension and consequent non-cooperation among peers when only poor students areincentivized and majority of the peers, who happen to be non poor, are excluded.
Roy Seminar (ADRES)
Du 22/01/2018 de 17:00 à 18:30
Salle R1-09, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
JEWITT Ian (Oxford)
Selecting from an Endogenous Pool of Applicants
Régulation et Environnement
Du 22/01/2018 de 12:00 à 14:00
Salle R1-13, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
LEGROS Patrick ()
Come Together Now — Firm Boundaries and Delegation
Casual Friday Development Seminar - Brown Bag Seminar
Du 19/01/2018 de 12:45 à 13:45
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
BARRERA Oscar ()
The electoral power of weapons: evidence from the Colombian conflict
PEPES (Paris Empirical Political Economics) Working Group
Du 18/01/2018 de 12:30 à 14:00
salle R2-01, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
LARREGUY Horacio (Havard University )
BREAKING CLIENTELISM OR REWARDING INCUMBENTS? EVIDENCE FROM AN URBAN TITLING PROGRAM IN MEXICO
écrit avec John Marshall and Laura Trucco.
TOM (Théorie, Organisation et Marchés) Lunch Seminar
Du 18/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R2-20, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan, 75014 Paris
PRADELSKI Bary (ETH Zurich)
Title: Micro influence and macro dynamics of opinion formation
écrit avec Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg and Michael Maes
Session organisée par Francis Bloch (Paris 1/PSE)
Abstract:
Social media platforms, comment boards, and online market places have created unprecedented potential for social influence and resulting opinion dynamics such as polarization. We propose an encompassing model that captures competing micro-level theories of social influence. Conducting an online lab-in-the-field experiment, we observe that individual opinions shift linearly towards the mean of others' opinions. From this finding, we predict the macro-level opinion dynamics resulting from social influence. We test our predictions using data from another lab-in-the-field experiment and find that opinion polarization decreases in the presence of social influence. We corroborate these findings with large-scale field data.
Travail et économie publique externe
Du 18/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:45
MARINESCU Ioana (University of Pennsylvania)
Labor market concentration
écrit avec Coauthors: Jose Azar and Marshall Steinbaum
A product market is concentrated when a few firms dominate the market. Similarly, a labor market is concentrated when a few firms dominate hiring in the market. Using data from the leading employment website CareerBuilder, we calculate labor market concentration for over 8,000 geographic-occupational labor markets in the US. Based on the DOJ-FTC horizontal merger guidelines, the average market is highly concentrated. Using a panel IV regression, we show that going from the 25th percentile to the 75th percentile in concentration is associated with a 17% decline in posted wages, suggesting that concentration increases labor market power.
Behavior seminar
Du 18/01/2018 de 11:00 à 12:00
PSE 48 bld Jourdan, PARIS (75014) R2-21
NEBOUT Antoine (INRAE, PSAE)
Hunger Games II: Do Hunger Affects Risk Preferences?
écrit avec Lydia Ashton, Emmanuel Kemel
Abstract: Classic economic theory focuses on static and stable preferences. However, there is growing evidence that cognitive, emotional and visceral states (e.g. fatigue, stress or hunger) can mediate behavioral biases and shape preferences (DellaVigna, 2009). In particular, Symmonds & al. (2010) and Levy & al. (2013) provide evidence that risk attitudes fluctuate with metabolic states. In this paper, we follow this stream of research and propose an experimental design with a specific hunger manipulation mechanism using high-protein drink and an original risk attitude elicitation tool that allows parametric estimation of the components of Prospect Theory by using a convex budget line allocation methodology (Choi & al., 2007). The experiment (N=107) took place in the Social Sciences Experimental Lab (Xlab) at the University of California, Berkeley. Fasting requirement combined with the nutritional-shake tasting activity resulted in a successful manipulation of hunger. Our preliminary results suggest a limited impact of hunger on the utility function and loss aversion parameters. There could be a positive effect of hunger on the level of optimism (represented by the elevation of the probability weighting function) suggesting a lower risk aversion for hungry (fasting) individuals for small gain probabilities. These results have to be confirmed by further analysis.
Behavior Working Group
Du 18/01/2018 de 10:00 à 11:00
BOUACIDA Elias (PSE)
Pay-for-certainty, an experiment to elicit (in)complete preferences
Development Economics Seminar
Du 17/01/2018 de 16:30 à 18:00
salle R2-01, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
POMERANZ Dina (Harvard Business School )
Can audits backfire? Evidence from public procurement in Chile
Economic History Seminar
Du 17/01/2018 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
HILT Eric (Wellesley College)
Banks, Insider Connections, and Industrialization in New England: Evidence from the Panic of 1873.
Using newly collected data from Massachusetts, this paper documents the extent of bank
director representation non-financial firms’ boards, and investigates whether bank-affiliated companies
fared better during the recession that followed the Panic of 1873. Around 59 percent of all non-financial
corporations had at least one bank director on their boards. These firms survived the recession of the
1870s at higher rates, and among the surviving firms, those with bank affiliations saw their growth rates
and credit ratings decline less than firms without bank affiliations. Consistent with banker-directors
helping to resolve problems related to asymmetric information, these effects were strongest among
younger firms, and those with lower shares of fixed assets on their balance sheets. In contrast, the
presence of bank cashiers on firms’ boards, which created an association with a bank without significantly
increasing the likelihood of a credit relationship, had no effect. These results imply that during New
England’s industrialization, affiliations with commercial banks helped nonfinancial corporations survive
economic downturns.
PSI-PSE (Petit Séminaire Informel de la Paris School of Economics) Seminar
Du 16/01/2018 de 17:00 à 18:00
Campus Jourdan - Room R2-20
FERNANDEZ SANCHEZ Martin (LISER)
The long-term effects of mass migration on the left behind
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 16/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
CASSAN Guilhem(University of Namur)
BALAND Jean Marie(University of Namur)
DECERF Benoit(University of Namur)
LUO Yiyang(University of Essex)
Deprivation measures combining poverty and mortality: Theory and global evidence
Roy Seminar (ADRES)
Du 15/01/2018 de 17:00 à 18:30
Salle R1-09, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
ZAPECHELNYUK Andriy (University of St Andrews)
A delegation approach to persuasion
We study a monotone persuasion problem. This is a problem of
Bayesian persuasion between a principal and an agent, in which the
principal's choice of information disclosure is restricted to monotone
partitions. We show that this problem is equivalent to a constrained
delegation problem, with the implication that solving one problem also
means solving the other. We use this equivalence to apply known
techniques in the delegation literature to address the monotone
persuasion problem.
GSIELM (Graduate Students International Economics and Labor Market) Lunch Seminar
Du 15/01/2018 de 13:00 à 14:00
Room R1-15, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
HERGHELEGIU Cristina (Paris 1, PSE)
Firm adjustment to customs-driven administrative barriers
This paper analyzes how firms adjust to administrative barriers. Relying on a highly detailed dataset including the universe of Russian transactions over the period 2012-2015, we seek to identify the impact of customs-specific time delays on exports flows. We focus on firm-to-firm trade and show that the time delays induced by customs clearance negatively affect firm-to-firm exports, even after controlling for other potentially confounding factors. We further explore the role of Incoterms used as a tool to delimit the risks between the exporting and importing firms throughout the shipping process. Our results show that export flows are significantly higher when exporters take full control over export clearance.
Régulation et Environnement
Du 15/01/2018 de 12:00 à 14:00
DOUENNE THOMAS ( UNIVERSITé PARIS 1 PANTHéON SORBONNE) ET Nunez Thais (Univ. d'Orléans) (PSE)
The vertical and horizontal distributive effects of energy taxes: A micro-simulation study of a French policy
Casual Friday Development Seminar - Brown Bag Seminar
Du 12/01/2018 de 12:45 à 13:45
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
SINGH Manpreet(PSE)
IACOBELLI Giulio()
Social proximity and choice of monitors: Lab in the field experiment in Nepal
brown bag Travail et Économie Publique
Du 11/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
LANDAUD Fanny (NHH)
From Employment to Engagement? Stable jobs, Temporary Jobs and Cohabiting Relationships
Over the past forty years, it has become increasingly difficult for young men and women to enter the labor market, especially with a permanent contract. In parallel, men and women are waiting longer to get married or enter a first cohabiting relationship. To shed light on the connection between those two trends, this paper develops a timing-of-events analysis using Abbring and van den Berg empirical model (Abbring and van den Berg (2003)). This analysis shows that both stable and temporary jobs increase the instantaneous probability to enter a first cohabiting relationship, but the impact of a first stable job is much stronger than the impact of a first temporary job (it is about 3 times larger). Also, the impact of a first job is similar across gender for younger cohorts, while it used to be much stronger for men than women for older cohorts. Finally, among younger cohorts there are little effects that go from cohabiting relationships to employment, whereas the employment chances of women in older cohorts used to be strongly negatively impacted by cohabitation.
TOM (Théorie, Organisation et Marchés) Lunch Seminar
Du 11/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R2-20, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
VEIEL Rafael ()
Strategic Type Spaces
Universal type spaces provide a representation of players’ information that allows to derive the set of interim correlated rationalizable (ICR) actions in any game. They also provide the appropriate structure for the study of ICR sensitivity to information. However, the resulting procedure to compute the set of ICR actions in a given game is often unnecessarily complex, as the universal type space contains types that are redundant for this game. Furthermore, no representation equivalent to the universal type space is known for alternative solution concepts such as interim independent rationalizability (IIR). We offer a way to study the set of rationalizable (in the sense of ICR or IIR, or other) actions in any given game. We introduce strategic type spaces as minimal representations of all strategically relevant information that allow to derive the set of rationalizable actions in this game. These strategic type spaces are characterized by a network structure, and provide an adequate framework for studying sensitivity of strategic behavior to information.
Economic History Seminar
Du 10/01/2018 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2-20, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
ADELMAN Jeremy (Princeton)
The Global Gilded Age: Integration, Inequality, and Fragility
This is an initial draft of the second chapter of a book I am writing about debates about global interdependence from the nineteenth century to the present. This paper focuses on the period before 1914, the first “Great Convergence” – to show how integration created new wealth and opportunities – as well as new fissures and fragilities across societies. Interdependence locked societies together and drove them apart at the same time. Understanding those contradictory dynamics might help to illuminate our current tensions.
Paris Trade Seminar
Du 09/01/2018 de 14:45 à 16:15
ScPo, 28 rue des Saints Pères, 75007 Paris, salle H405
RAPPOPORT Daniel (Chicago Booth)
*The Birth of a Multinational: Innovation and Foreign Acquisitions
écrit avec J. Goldman, M. Guadalupe
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 09/01/2018 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
JANNIN Nicolas (Paris School of Economics)
The impact of local taxes on the French housing markets
écrit avec Aurélie Sotura
Régulation et Environnement
Du 08/01/2018 de 12:00 à 14:00
Salle R1-13, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
COULOMB Renaud (University of Melbourne)
Rare Events and Risk Perception: Evidence from the Fukushima Accident
écrit avec Yanos Zylberberg
We study changes in nuclear-risk perception following the Fukushima nuclear accident of March 2011. Using an exhaustive registry of individual housing transactions in England and Wales between 2007 and 2014, we implement a difference-in-difference strategy and compare housing prices in at-risk areas to areas further away from nuclear sites before and after the Fukushima incident. We find a persistent price decrease of about 3.5% in response to the accident for properties in the neighbourhood of nuclear plants. As the UK immediately extended the life duration of most nuclear plants, the price decrease is primarily driven by a change in nuclear-risk perception. However, we find large heterogeneity among at-risk neighbourhoods, and we explore how such heterogeneity can relate to existing productive and consumptive amenities.