Calendrier du mois de décembre 2017
brown bag Travail et Économie Publique
Du 21/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
WANG Olivier (NYU Stern)
Labor market responses to payroll tax reductions
Payroll tax reductions are a popular tool to lower the minimum labor cost and encourage employment and job creation. Effects of these tax reductions go beyond the directly affected. A particular concern about such policies is that more productive jobs may be replaced with less productive ones. We examine payroll tax reductions using an equilibrium search-and-matching model estimated from the French administrative data. We find that lowering taxes on low-paid work induces low-productivity workers to enter the labor market and low-productivity firms to post more vacancies. These behaviors congest the labor market, resulting in lower employment among high-productivity workers and negative impacts on aggregate production. We find that, rather than reducing taxes for a wide range of jobs, restricting payroll tax reductions to minimum wage jobs helps low-wage workers, but the resulting congestion effect is also stronger. Taking this trade-off into account, we determine who should benefit from payroll reductions.
Texte intégral
Behavior seminar
Du 21/12/2017 de 11:00 à 12:00
48, BLD JOURDAN PARIS (75014) Salle R2-21
TENAND Marianne ()
Long--term care use in the Netherlands: equal treatment for equal needs? An assessment using administrative data.
The Netherlands stands out for offering a generous public coverage of long-term care (LTC) services to its disabled elderly population. In our paper, we investigate whether the Dutch system ensures socio-economic horizontal equity in the use of LTC services, i-e whether individuals with similar needs for LTC receive the same amount of services, irrespective of their income. While most studies of horizontal equity in health care use typically rely on a statistically derived measure of needs, we use the eligibility assessment made by the Dutch independent central LTC assessment agency as an explicit norm of vertical equity. We exploit rich administrative data on the universe of the individuals aged 60 or more eligible for public LTC in 2012 (N=616,934). Our data allow us to construct a measure of LTC use (resp. needs) as the monetary value of all institutional care and home care services the individual used (resp. was entitled to) in 2012, while providing individual socio-economic and demographic information. We find substantial pro-poor concentration of LTC use, only partially offset by poorer individuals having higher needs for LTC. The differential gap between use and needs across the income distribution is especially marked among those eligible for home care. Income, age and household composition contribute to pro-poor income-related horizontal inequity, while regional differences in use, origin and wealth show a negligible contribution.
PSI-PSE (Petit Séminaire Informel de la Paris School of Economics) Seminar
Du 19/12/2017 de 17:00 à 18:00
MARTíNEZ-TOLEDANO Clara (Imperial College Business School)
Behavioral Responses to Wealth Taxes in Spain
Paris Trade Seminar
Du 19/12/2017 de 14:45 à 16:15
ScPo, 28 rue des Saints Pères, 75007 Paris, salle H405
NOVY Dennis (Warwick)
Currency Unions, Trade, and Heterogeneity
écrit avec Natalie Chen (Warwick)
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 19/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
SCHMUTZ Benoit (Crest,IPP,Polytechnique)
Frictional Labor Mobility
écrit avec Modibo Sidibe (Duke university)
Du 18/12/2017 de 12:00 à 14:00
Salle R1-15, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
Casual Friday Development Seminar - Brown Bag Seminar
Du 15/12/2017 de 12:45 à 13:45
Salle R2-20, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
BAH Tijan (University of Navarra)
Understanding Willingness to Migrate Illegally: Evidence from a Lab in the Field Experiment
écrit avec Catia Batista (Nova School of Business and Economics)
EPCI (Economie politique du changement institutionnel) Seminar
Du 15/12/2017 de 11:00 à 12:30
MSE - PARIS 1 - ROOM 116
POTTIER Antonin (CERNA - PSL)
*
Du 14/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R2-20, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan, 75014 Paris
TOM (Théorie, Organisation et Marchés) Lunch Seminar
Du 14/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R2-20, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
ELLISON Sara (MIT)
Match Quality, Search, and the Internet Market for Used Books
écrit avec joint with S. Ellison
Abstract : This paper examines the effect of the Internet on markets in which match-quality is
important, including an analysis of the market for used books. A model in which sellers of
unusual objects wait for high-value buyers to arrive brings out match quality and competition
eects through which improved search technologies may increase both price dispersion
and social welfare. A reduced-form empirical analysis nds support for a number of more
nuanced predictions of the model in the context of the used book market, exploiting both
cross-sectional dierences across books and time-series dierences in the wake of Amazon's
acquisition and incorporation of a large used book marketplace. The paper develops a
framework for structural estimation of a model based on the theory. The estimates suggest
that the shift to Internet sales substantially increased both seller prots and consumer
Surplus.
Travail et économie publique externe
Du 14/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:45
BEST Michael (Columbia University)
Individuals and Organizations as Sources of State Effectiveness, and Consequences for Policy Design
How much of the variation in state effectiveness is due to the individuals and organizations responsible
for implementing policy? We investigate this question and its implications for policy design
in the context of public procurement, using a text-based product classification method to measure bureaucratic
output. We show that effective procurers lower bid preparation/submission costs, and that
60% of within-product purchase-price variation across 16 million purchases in Russia in 2011-2015 is
due to the bureaucrats and organizations administering procurement processes. This has dramatic
policy consequences. To illustrate these, we study a ubiquitous procurement policy: bid preferences
for favored firms (here domestic manufacturers). The policy decreases overall entry and increases
prices when procurers are effective, but has the opposite impact with ineffective procurers, as predicted
by a simple endogenous-entry model of procurement. Our results imply that the state’s often
overlooked bureaucratic tier is critical for effectiveness and the make-up of optimal policies.
Behavior seminar
Du 14/12/2017 de 11:00 à 12:00
48, bld Jourdan PARIS (75014) salle R2-21
PONTHIÈRE Grégory ()
The Domestic Welfare Loss of Syrian Civil War: An Equivalent Income Approach
This paper uses an equivalent income approach to quantify the domes- tic welfare loss due to the Syrian Civil War. Focusing on the (income, life expectancy) space, we show that the equivalent income has fallen by about 60 % in comparison to the pre-conáict level. We also Önd that the di§er- ential between the equivalent income and the standard income for 2016 lies between $75 and $144. Although this low willingness to pay for com- ing back to pre-conáict survival conditions can be explained by extreme poverty due to the War, the small gap between standard and equivalent incomes tends to question the extra value brought by the latter for the measurement of standards of living in situations of severe poverty. We examine some solutions to that puzzle, including a more general speciÖ- cation of the utility function, the shift from an ex ante approach (valuing changes in life expectancy) to an ex post approach (valuing changes in dis- tributions of realized longevities), as well as considering population ethical aspects. None of those solutions is fully successful in solving the puzzle.
Behavior Working Group
Du 14/12/2017 de 10:00 à 11:00
salle R1-10, campus Jourdan - 48 bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
ARRONDEL Luc(PSE)
LASLIER Jean-François(CNRS-PSE)
DUHAUTOIS Richard(CNAM)
The shooter anxiety at the penalty kick
Development Economics Seminar
Du 13/12/2017 de 16:30 à 18:00
Sale R2-21, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
GERARD François (Columbia University )
Unemployment Insurance Schemes and Consumption: Evidence from Brazil
écrit avec with Joana Naritomi
Different unemployment insurance schemes exist to support displaced formal workers across countries, and their disbursement policies differ substantially. State-contingent transfers, such unemployment insurance (UI) programs, are schemes that transfer benefits periodically to displaced workers who remain non-employed. In contrast, some schemes transfer a benefit amount in a lump-sum fashion at layoff, such as severance pay programs (SPP) and most unemployment insurance savings accounts (UISA) programs. Although most countries provide workers with some combination of periodic benefits and lump-sum schemes, little is known about how the different disbursement designs affect the insurance value they provide to displaced workers. Moreover, the relative importance of these schemes vary systematically across the development path: lump-sum transfers are more common than UI in developing countries, where the state has limited capacity to monitor workers and a large share of the workforce is informal. This paper contributes to fill this gap using evidence from Sao Paulo, Brazil. We analyse high frequency expenditure data matched to a longitudinal microdata of formal employment for over 400,000 workers. Using multiple sources of individual income variation from unemployment insurance schemes available to workers in Brazil, we document several empirical findings on how different unemployment insurance schemes affect consumption smoothing. Across our empirical analysis we find that consumption is highly sensitive to the timing of disbursement of benefits. First, we find a substantial increase in consumption at layoff, when a lump-sum becomes available, followed by a long-term loss in consumption if workers remain non-formally employed. This increase is larger for workers with higher lump-sum despite similar long-term losses. Second, we find that consumption drops after UI exhaustion, and we zoom in at daily data to find that the higher consumption levels workers experience before UI exhaustion is concentrated around the UI payday. These empirical patterns shed light on the relevance of disbursement policies for social insurance, and provide novel evidence on the insurance value of unemployment benefits in a developing country context.
Régulation et Environnement
Du 13/12/2017 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2-21, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
MA Albert (Boston University)
Uterus at a Price: Disability Insurance and Hysterectomy
Taiwanese Labor, Government Employee, and Farmer Insurance programs provide 5-6 months of salary to
enrollees who undergo hysterectomy or oophorectomy before their 45th birthday. These programs result in
more and earlier treatments, referred as, respectively, inducement and timing effects. Difference-indifference
and nonparametric methods are used to estimate these effects on surgery hazards between 1997
and 2011. For Government Employee and Labor Insurance, inducement is 11-12% of all hysterectomies,
and timing 20% of inducement. For oophorectomy, both effects are insignificant. Induced hysterectomies
increase benefit payments and surgical costs, at about the cost of a mammogram and 5 pap smears per
enrollee.
Economic History Seminar
Du 13/12/2017 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
MICHELMORE Molly (Washington and Lee University)
As a Taxpayer and a Citizen: The History of Tax Politics in the 20th Century United States
Du 12/12/2017 de 17:00 à 18:00
CASANUEVA ARTIS Annalí()
CASANUEVA ARTIS Annalí()
Can social movements change political landscape ?
PSI-PSE (Petit Séminaire Informel de la Paris School of Economics) Seminar
Du 12/12/2017 de 17:00 à 18:00
Salle R2-20, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
CASANUEVA ARTIS Annalí ()
Can social movements change the political landscape of a country?
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 12/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
DUFLO Esther (MIT)
Comparing two programs evaluated on different populations: Evidence from two entrepreneurship programs in France
écrit avec Bruno Crépon, Elise Huilery, William Pariente, Juliette Seban
TBA
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 12/12/2017
DUFLO Esther (MIT)
*
Roy Seminar (ADRES)
Du 11/12/2017 de 17:00 à 18:30
Salle R1-09, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
NAVA Francesco (LSE)
“Differentiated Durable Goods: Competition and Market Power”
GSIELM (Graduate Students International Economics and Labor Market) Lunch Seminar
Du 11/12/2017 de 13:00 à 14:00
Room S3 MSE, 106-112 Bd de l’Hôpital, 75013 Paris
PANON Ludovic (Sciences Po)
The Cost of Not Getting Along: Interstate Tensions and International Trade
écrit avec Florin Cucu (Sciences Po)
In this article, we provide evidence of the impact of interstate tensions on international trade. Using a large panel data set on asylum applications in the EU from 2002 to 2015, we develop a novel measure of interstate tensions based on refugee admission rates. Humanitarian conditions in the origin country explain little of the variation in approval rates, asylum policies being often used by governments as a foreign policy tool. Specifically, countries are more likely to accept refugees from rival countries. We then study the impact of this measure on trade flows between the EU and the rest of the world. We find that a one percentage point increase in our asylum policy based measure leads to a drop in trade ranging from 1% to 4%. Taking into account endogeneity concerns, we also exploit the variation in asylum policy across European countries as an instrumental variable and find that a change of 1 percentage point in our measure entails a drop in trade flows of 1% to 4% from one year to the next.
Casual Friday Development Seminar - Brown Bag Seminar
Du 08/12/2017 de 12:45 à 13:45
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
MCCAIG Brian (Wilfrid Laurier University)
FDI and human capital: Evidence from Vietnam
écrit avec Nina Pavcnik (Dartmouth College) and Nancy Wu (University of Oxford)
We examine the impacts on education of the rapid growth of FDI jobs in Vietnam between 2000 and 2008. We exploit the variation in timing of FDI job growth across provinces in Vietnam. Using cohort analysis from census data we demonstrate that FDI has mixed effects on years of schooling that depend critically on the exact specification. We supplement this analysis with nationally representative individual panel data that allows us to observe individual-level transitions from attending school to not attending school. We find evidence of an increase in school attendance in response to FDI jobs, but mixed evidence on the highest grade completed.
Macroeconomics Seminar
Du 07/12/2017 de 15:45 à 17:00
PSE - 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris - salle R2-21
BANERJEE Abhijit (MIT)
*Trade, Capital Markets and Inequality
brown bag Travail et Économie Publique
Du 07/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
STANCANELLI Elena (PSE)
Partial retirement and partners' labor supply: learning from a Norwegian retirement reform
Flexible partial retirement stands out among policies aimed at extending individual working lives. Because most people of retirement age are partnered and likely plan their retirement together, partial retirement of one partner may impact labor supply of the other. We exploit a 2011 pension reform in Norway that incentivized partial retirement for some workers but not for others, focusing on couples in which only one partner directly faced changed incentives. Drawing on employer-employee register data matched with records from social security and population registers and using a difference-in-differences setup, we find that, for both men and women, the reform increased own labor supply by 5 to 7 hours per week and reduced the probability of full retirement by 20 percentage points. The reform also increased labor supply of wives of treated husbands by 1 to 2 hours per week and reduced their full retirement rate by 4 to 6 percentage points. In line with asymmetries in spousal employment responses found in prior studies, we do not uncover similar indirect effects for husbands of treated wives.
PEPES (Paris Empirical Political Economics) Working Group
Du 07/12/2017 de 12:30 à 14:00
salle H402, Sciences Po - 28 rue des Saints-Pères, 75007 Paris
KRANTON Rachel (Duke University )
Deconstructing Group Bias: Individual Groupiness and Income Allocation
écrit avec Rachel Kranton, Matthew Pease, Seth Sanders, and Scott Huettel
This paper finds significant, divergent patterns in how people allocate income in group
settings. The results indicate that the tendency to favor people conditional on group affiliation,
which we call “groupiness,” could be an individual trait. Each participant allocates income in
two group treatments, an arbitrary minimal group setting and a political group setting. Many
subjects are “not groupy,” showing no favoritism to ingroup in either setting; others are “groupy,”
with equally positive favoritism in both. Less than half of subjects are “conditionally groupy,”
with greater favoritism in the political group treatment. Using latent class models, we structurally
identify nine distinct patterns of behavior. The most prevalent type, 23% of subjects, weighs own
and other subjects’ income similarly regardless of group affiliation of others; the second most
prevalent type, 20%, puts almost no weight on other subjects’ income regardless of group
affiliation of others. Both show no ingroup favoritism albeit in different ways. Twelve percent of
subjects’ have particularly high favoritism in both settings. Overall, three of our nine types are
not groupy, three are groupy, and three are conditionally groupy. Thus, observed bias in a group
setting might not be due to the nature of the setting but rather the selection or composition of
individuals within the group.
TOM (Théorie, Organisation et Marchés) Lunch Seminar
Du 07/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R2-20, campus Jourdan, 48 bd Jourdan - 75014 Paris
CARAYOL Nicolas (Université de Bordeaux )
Evaluating the underlying qualities of items and raters from a series of reviews
écrit avec joint with M. Jackson
Development Economics Seminar
Du 06/12/2017 de 16:30 à 18:00
amphitheatre Oïkos, campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan 75014 Paris
ROGGER Daniel (World Bank Research Group)
Decentralization and Information: Empirical Evidence from Ethiopia
A common assertion is that decentralized agents such as local government organizations have better information than their centralized counterparts. We test this assertion by measuring the beliefs of public officials regarding the characteristics of the citizens they serve at the federal, regional and local levels of government in Ethiopia. By benchmarking these claims against validated administrative and survey data we show that local government officials make significantly lower errors in their estimates of citizen characteristics than other public officials. We are also able to show that there is no statistically significant difference between the errors made by managers and non-managers, implying that principals are no less informed than their agents. We investigate the determinants of these more accurate beliefs both non-experimentally and experimentally and provide evidence that distinct management practices rather than proximity to citizens underlies the more accurate beliefs we measure at the decentralized tiers of government
Paris Migration Seminar
Du 05/12/2017 de 16:30 à 19:30
Salle R1-15, Campus Jourdan, 48 rue Jourdan, 75014 Paris
COMOLA Margherita(PSE)
ZENOU Yves(Monash University)
Conformism, Social Norms and the Dynamics of Assimilation (co-authors : Gonzalo Olcina and Fabrizio Panebianco)
Paris Trade Seminar
Du 05/12/2017 de 14:45 à 16:15
ScPo, 28 rue des Saints Pères, 75007 Paris, salle H405
WILLMANN Gerald (Bielefeld)
*Unequal Gains, Prolonged Pain: A Model of Protectionist Overshooting
écrit avec Emily Blanchard (Dartmouth)
Economic History Seminar
Du 05/12/2017 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01 , Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
TAYLOR Alan (University of California Davis)
The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 05/12/2017
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
ALAN M. Taylor (UC DAVIS)
The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015
Roy Seminar (ADRES)
Du 04/12/2017 de 17:00 à 18:30
Salle R1-09, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
KLAUS Bettina ()
Serial Dictatorship Mechanisms with Reservation Prices
Abstract: We propose a new set of mechanisms, which we call serial dictatorship mechanisms with reservation prices for the allocation of one indivisible good. We show that a mechanism satisfies minimal tradability, individual rationality, strategy-proofness, consistency, and non wasteful tie-breaking if and only if there exists a reservation price vector and a priority ordering such that the mechanism is a serial dictatorship mechanism with reservation prices. We obtain a second characterization by replacing individual rationality with non-imposition. In both our characterizations the reservation price vector, the priority ordering, and the mechanism are all found simultaneously and endogenously from the properties. In addition, we show that in our model a mechanism satisfies Pareto efficiency, strategy-proofness, and consistency if and only if it is welfare equivalent to a classical serial dictatorship. Finally, we illustrate how the normative requirements governing the functioning of some real life markets and the mechanisms that these markets use are reasonably well captured by our model and results.
Régulation et Environnement
Du 04/12/2017 de 12:00 à 14:00
Salle R1-15, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
SCHUMACHER Ingmar ()
Mitigation strategies when faced with the threat of solar radiation management
Paris Game Theory Seminar
Du 04/12/2017 de 11:00 à 12:00
salle 01 (rez-de-chaussée) au Centre Emile Borel de l'Institut Henri Poincaré, 11 rue Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris 5ème
PRADELSKI Bary (ETH Zurich)
*
Casual Friday Development Seminar - Brown Bag Seminar
Du 01/12/2017 de 12:45 à 13:45
Salle R2-20, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
CASANUEVA ARTIS Annalí (PSE)
Can social movements change the political landscape of a country?
Du 01/12/2017 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
BARRERA Oscar()
BARRERA Oscar()
*